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Math Uncovers the Truth that Gavin Newsom has been Hiding about Coronavirus Deaths

Justin Hart
5 min readApr 28, 2020

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Gover Newsom has been very opaque on the situation of nursing homes in CA. We have no official numbers around deaths for residents or staff.

I may have uncovered proof that half or more of all #COVID19 deaths in California are nursing home-related.

The chart above shows the number of nursing home CV19-positive patients (y-axis) against confirmed #COVID19 deaths (x-axis) by county.

And THAT line is what we call a near perfect regression.

Here is the vague data I mentioned before provided by the CDPH about nursing homes.

“patients” and “staff” denote those residents and workers who are case-positive. It has no info on deaths or status except the “staff_note” column.

Again, we DON’T know the status of those “patients” — dead, hosp., recovered.

Let’s do the chart again — minus L.A. county

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Justin Hart
Justin Hart

Written by Justin Hart

CMO at large. I live at the intersection of AI, machine learning and marketing. It’s a busy corner! (I need to model that).

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