I am not alone anymore. The Coronavirus Shutdown Could be the Worst Fiasco Ever.

The lag in data shown here is just one example of really, really bad data.

Tonight — John Ioannidis, professor in disease prevention at Stanford has written the most important thing you will read on this issue.

https://www.statnews.com/2020/03/17/a-fiasco-in-the-making-as-the-coronavirus-pandemic-takes-hold-we-are-making-decisions-without-reliable-data/

The article hits almost every point myself and a few others here have been saying. Some excerpts titled with the same questions I’ve been asking:

Is this a mistake?

“The current coronavirus disease, Covid-19, has been called a once-in-a-century pandemic. But it may also be a once-in-a-century evidence fiasco.”

More good than harm?

“Draconian countermeasures have been adopted in many countries…. How long, though, should measures like these be continued if the pandemic churns across the globe unabated? How can policymakers tell if they are doing more good than harm?”

Unreliable numbers. Awful range of terrible biases.

“This evidence fiasco creates tremendous uncertainty about the risk of dying from Covid-19. Reported case fatality rates, like the official 3.4% rate from the World Health Organization, cause horror — and are meaningless. Patients who have been…